Articles - Collective Minds Radiology

AI in Clinical Trials: Stats, Growth, Market Trends, and Real‑World Examples

Written by Pär Kragsterman | October 31, 2025

If you’re asking how big AI in clinical trials is and where it works today: it’s accelerating recruitment and design, cutting cycle time, and growing fast, with mounting validation from research, industry data, and regulators.

Clinical trials are longer, costlier, and more complex than ever. AI is being deployed to improve feasibility, accelerate enrollment, optimize eligibility criteria, and standardize data capture and analysis. Lets talk about current market numbers, growth signals, regulatory context, and concrete examples so sponsors and CROs can act with confidence.

Market size and growth at a glance

Market estimates vary by scope and methodology but consistently point to strong expansion.

  • MarketsandMarkets projects the AI in clinical trials market growing from USD 1.5B (2022) to USD 4.8B by 2027 (25.6% CAGR), reflecting expanding use across patient recruitment, site optimization, and data management (MarketsandMarkets report coverage).
  • Fortune Business Insights estimates the market at USD 2.76B in 2024, with strong projected growth through 2032 (Fortune Business Insights).
  • Broader R&D productivity signals also support adoption. The IQVIA Institute links gains to innovative enablers such as predictive biomarkers, novel trial designs, and digital/decentralized methods—enablers that overlap with common AI applications in development (IQVIA Institute 2024).

"Industry and regulatory adoption of innovative and technology-driven enablers, including use of predictive biomarkers, novel trial design, and digital and decentralized trial methodologies contributed to productivity gains." — IQVIA Institute for Human Data Science, IQVIA Institute

Where AI delivers value today

Across sponsors and CROs, AI’s traction is most visible in four operational areas:

  • Patient recruitment and site strategy: AI helps identify high‑performing sites, forecast enrollment, and flag risks early. Medidata highlights persistent pain points—low accrual efficiency and frequent delays—that AI-driven forecasting and benchmarking are designed to address (Medidata Intelligent Trials).
  • Protocol design and eligibility optimization: Peer‑reviewed research shows AI can safely broaden eligibility criteria and accelerate accrual in many oncology contexts by modeling trade‑offs with real‑world data (Nature 2021: Trial Pathfinder).

  • Data capture and analysis: NLP and ML streamline adverse event coding, query management, and signal detection; imaging AI reduces inter‑reader variability and speeds reads. McKinsey highlights double‑digit productivity potential when AI is paired with a modernized clinical application and analytics layer (McKinsey). Deloitte emphasizes how GenAI can streamline trial documentation and regulatory workflows (Deloitte).

"GenAI offers life sciences leaders a powerful tool to help streamline and enhance various stages of clinical trials. By automating key, repetitive tasks such as document generation and regulatory submissions, the technology can reduce overall cycle time and costs." — Deloitte

  • Imaging and digital endpoints: AI supports standardized reads and endpoint consistency—especially valuable in multicenter studies and complex imaging endpoints.

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Evidence spotlight: design and speed

Nature’s reporting captures the scale of the challenge and why the industry is leaning into technology:

"Over the previous 60 years, the number of drugs approved in the United States per billion dollars in R&D spending had halved every nine years." — Matthew Hutson, Nature

Peer‑reviewed work underscores AI’s potential for trial design:

"Data-driven AI tools hold great potential to improve the steps of clinical trial design, from preparation to execution." — Bin Zhang et al., Communications Medicine (Nature)

A concrete clinical example: Insilico Medicine reported positive Phase 2a progress for an AI‑designed small molecule in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, signaling momentum from discovery into clinical validation (Insilico Medicine).

"This study result represents a critical milestone in AI-powered drug discovery and in my life to date." — Alex Zhavoronkov, PhD, Insilico Medicine

Regulatory view: human‑centric and validated

Regulators encourage innovation while insisting on validation, auditability, and risk‑based oversight. The European Medicines Agency reflects a balanced stance:

"The use of artificial intelligence is rapidly developing in society and as regulators we see more and more applications in the field of medicines. AI brings exciting opportunities to generate new insights and improve processes. To embrace them fully, we will need to be prepared for the regulatory challenges presented by this quickly evolving ecosystem" — European Medicines Agency, EMA

Sponsors should pre‑specify models and validation plans, ensure audit trails, and seek early advice for higher‑risk uses (e.g., dose assignment algorithms). Many AI applications that enhance efficiency under close human supervision can fit within existing GCP expectations when systems are validated and transparent.

Metrics that matter (and how to start)

To show value and maintain trust, measure uplift versus historical baselines:

  • Accrual velocity: time‑to‑first‑patient‑in and month‑over‑month enrollment versus forecast
  • Screen failure rate and protocol deviations: impact of eligibility optimization and feasibility modeling
  • Site productivity dispersion: movement of bottom‑quartile sites and stability of top‑quartile performance
  • Cycle time and cost: protocol amendments, monitoring efficiency, and data review throughput

Then start where the KPIs are closest to cash: enrollment forecasting and site selection, eligibility optimization with real‑world data, and automation of high‑volume document workflows. Modernize the application/data layer to compound gains (McKinsey).

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Summary

AI in clinical trials is expanding quickly and practically, with strongest traction in recruitment, site strategy, eligibility design, and data operations. Market estimates point to multi‑billion‑dollar growth; peer‑reviewed research and early clinical milestones validate impact; and regulators are signaling a human‑centric, risk‑based path. Sponsors that align AI to measurable KPIs, pair it with modernized systems, and emphasize validation will see the earliest—and most defensible—returns.

 

 

Reviewed by: Pilar Flores Gastellu on October 31, 2025